Schedule

Tuesday February 17
1:00 PM - 5:30 PM: Conference Session
5:30 PM: No-Host Reception and Laptop Show and Tell 

Wednesday February 18
8:30 AM: Continental Breakfast
9:00 AM - 12:00 PM: Conference Session
12:00 PM - 1:00 PM: Lunch
1:00 PM - 5:00 PM Conference Session

Where

Catamaran Resort Hotel and Spa 
3999 Mission Boulevard
San Diego, CA 92109
  
Driving Directions

Hotel Reservations

A limited number of rooms are available at a discounted rate if booked by January 16, 2015. 

Attendees are responsible for making their own guestroom reservations by contacting the Catamaran directly. Mention "Probability Management."

Reservations Toll-Free Number:
Within U.S.A. – 800.422.8386
Canada – 800.233.8172 or online at
https://shop.evanshotels.com/catamaran_groups 
/3629.html
 

Registration Details

Fees: 

  • $1200 early registration fee before 12/14/14
  • $1500 fee after 12/14/14
  • 30% discount available for additional attendees from the same organization. Contact melissa@ probabilitymanagement.org  for discount code
  • Fees are fully refundable before 1/16/15. A $250 cancellation fee applies after 1/16/15

Includes:

  • Books by Harry Markowitz, Doug Hubbard, and Sam Savage
  • Breakfast and lunch on February 18

Contact

Melissa Kirmse 
Probability Management  
melissa@probabilitymanagement.org 

 

Annual Conference
The New Way to Communicate, Calculate and Calibrate Risk
February 17 - 18, 2015 

Featuring

  • Harry Markowitz – Nobel Laureate and ProbabilityManagement.org Board Member
  • Doug Hubbard – President of Hubbard Decision Research and Author of How to Measure Anything
  • Sam Savage – Executive Director, ProbabilityManagement.org and Author of The Flaw of Averages
  • Case Studies – Presentations by executives from Chevron, Lockheed Martin, Government Finance Officers Association, Lone Star Analysis 

Learn how to

  • Communicate uncertainty between analysts and decision-makers as auditable data
  • Calculate the chances of achieving financial targets or incurring losses interactively in Excel without macros or add-ins
  • Calibrate the opinions of experts, when no data is available
  • Aggregate risk models across software platforms across the enterprise
  • Determine the most important uncertainties to resolve
  • Give your organization the permission to be uncertain within specified limits

 Who should attend?

  • Senior decision-makers in organizations facing inherent uncertainty, especially in the fields of Energy, Finance, Healthcare, Security and Supply Chains
  • Risk Management professionals
  • Project Managers
  • Simulation users, in particular those familiar with Oracle Crystal Ball, @RISK and Risk Solver Platform
  • Entrepreneurs and innovators 

Get maximum leverage from the workshop by sending a team of a decision-maker and analyst.
Discount available for multiple attendees from the same organization.